UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Saturday, September 22, 2012·Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by Submission (R4)
Jones 90%10% Belfort
STRONG
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +288(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Jones)
Flyweight✗
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Split (R5)
Johnson 41%59% Benavidez
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Johnson)
Middleweight✓
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bisping 63%37% Stann
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +41(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Bisping)
Light Heavyweight✓
Matt Hamill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hamill 69%31% Hollett
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +169(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Hamill)
Featherweight✗
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Swanson 35%65% Oliveira
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Oliveira)
Light Heavyweight✓
Vinny Magalhaes won by Submission (R2)
Magalhaes 51%49% Pokrajac
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -422(favors Pokrajac)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Pokrajac)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Magalhaes)
Lightweight✗
TJ Grant won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grant 44%56% Dunham
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -113(favors Dunham)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Grant)
Welterweight✗
Sean Pierson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierson 44%56% Benoist
LEAN
→Elo gap: +67(favors Pierson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Pierson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Benoist)
Featherweight✗
Marcus Brimage won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brimage 37%63% Hettes
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +9(favors Brimage)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -9.8(favors Hettes)
Welterweight✗
Seth Baczynski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Baczynski 41%59% Thoresen
LEAN
→Elo gap: +125(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Thoresen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Thoresen)
Bantamweight✓
Mitch Gagnon won by Submission (R1)
Gagnon 72%28% Watson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +9(favors Gagnon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Gagnon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Gagnon)
Welterweight✓
Kyle Noke won by KO/TKO (R1)
Noke 64%36% Brenneman
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Brenneman)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Noke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Noke)