UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Friday, June 22, 2012·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightMISS
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Split (R5)
Maynard 43%57% Guida
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Guida)
LightweightHIT
Sam Stout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stout 68%32% Fisher
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +279(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Fisher)
WelterweightMISS
Brian Ebersole won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ebersole 49%51% Waldburger
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +107(favors Ebersole)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Waldburger)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Waldburger)
FeatherweightMISS
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Swanson 42%58% Pearson
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -147(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Swanson)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Lamas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lamas 51%49% Hioki
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Hioki)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Hioki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Lamas)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nijem 73%27% Keith
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -19(favors Keith)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Nijem)
WelterweightHIT
Rick Story won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Story 80%20% Jardine
STRONG
→Elo gap: +257(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Story)
FeatherweightHIT
Steven Siler won by Submission (R1)
Siler 79%21% Gambino
STRONG
→Elo gap: +200(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Siler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Siler)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Camozzi won by KO/TKO (R3)
Camozzi 59%41% Catone
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Catone)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Catone)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 81%19% Ramos
STRONG
→Elo gap: +301(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Brown)
WelterweightHIT
Dan Miller won by Submission (R3)
Miller 65%35% Funch
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +284(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Miller)
BantamweightMISS
Ken Stone won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stone 44%56% Pague
LEAN
→Elo gap: -9(favors Pague)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Stone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Stone)