UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
Friday, June 8, 2012·Sunrise, Florida, USA
Model Record: 5/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 69%31% McCall
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +53(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors McCall)
Welterweight✗
Erick Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 49%51% Brenneman
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Brenneman)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Brenneman)
Welterweight✗
Mike Pyle won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pyle 49%51% Neer
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -88(favors Neer)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Neer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Pyle)
Bantamweight✗
Eddie Wineland won by KO/TKO (R2)
Wineland 32%68% Jorgensen
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -209(favors Jorgensen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Jorgensen)
Welterweight✓
Mike Pierce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierce 71%29% Rocha
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +178(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Pierce)
Welterweight✗
Seth Baczynski won by Decision - Split (R3)
Baczynski 45%55% Benoist
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +76(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Baczynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Benoist)
Featherweight✓
Matt Grice won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grice 65%35% Garcia
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Grice)
Bantamweight✗
Dustin Pague won by Submission (R1)
Pague 50%50% Papazian
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -72(favors Papazian)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Papazian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Papazian)
Lightweight✓
Tim Means won by KO/TKO (R1)
Means 58%42% Salas
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Salas)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Salas)
Middleweight✗
Buddy Roberts won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roberts 38%62% Magalhaes
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
Lightweight✓
Henry Martinez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Martinez 64%36% Magalhaes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +14(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
Welterweight✗
Sean Pierson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierson 48%52% Hecht
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -26(favors Hecht)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Hecht)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pierson)