UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Saturday, October 12, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✗
Brandon Royval won by Decision - Split (R5)
Royval 37%63% Taira
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Royval)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Royval)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Taira)
Middleweight✓
JunYong Park won by Decision - Split (R3)
Park 62%38% Tavares
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Park)
Welterweight✓
Chidi Njokuani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Njokuani 60%40% Gooden
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Gooden)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Gooden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Gooden)
Lightweight✓
Grant Dawson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dawson 64%36% Garcia
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +197(favors Dawson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Garcia)
Welterweight✗
Daniel Rodriguez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rodriguez 45%55% Morono
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +53(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Morono)
Flyweight✗
Ramazan Temirov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Temirov 44%56% Vergara
LEAN
→Elo gap: +26(favors Temirov)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Vergara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vergara)
Featherweight✗
Pat Sabatini won by Submission (R1)
Sabatini 47%53% Pearce
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -27(favors Pearce)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Pearce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Sabatini)
Welterweight✓
Themba Gorimbo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gorimbo 63%37% Price
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Gorimbo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Price)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Gorimbo)
Heavyweight✓
Junior Tafa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tafa 50%50% Sharaf
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -147(favors Sharaf)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Tafa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sharaf)
Women's Strawweight✓
Julia Polastri won by Decision - Split (R3)
Polastri 51%49% McKenna
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -77(favors McKenna)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Polastri)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Polastri)
Bantamweight✗
Cody Haddon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Haddon 44%56% Argueta
LEAN
→Elo gap: +74(favors Haddon)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Argueta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Argueta)
Flyweight✗
Clayton Carpenter won by Submission (R2)
Carpenter 49%51% Rocha
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +90(favors Carpenter)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Carpenter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rocha)