UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Saturday, October 12, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 4/12(33%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
Main Card
FlyweightMISS
Brandon Royval won by Decision - Split (R5)
Royval 28%72% Taira
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (-0.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Royval)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Royval)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Taira)
MiddleweightHIT
JunYong Park won by Decision - Split (R3)
Park 57%43% Tavares
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Park)
WelterweightHIT
Chidi Njokuani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Njokuani 64%36% Gooden
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 58% (+6.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -122(favors Gooden)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Gooden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Gooden)
LightweightHIT
Grant Dawson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dawson 65%35% Garcia
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +212(favors Dawson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Garcia)
WelterweightMISS
Daniel Rodriguez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rodriguez 45%55% Morono
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +19(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Morono)
FlyweightMISS
Ramazan Temirov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Temirov 49%51% Vergara
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +34(favors Temirov)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Vergara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vergara)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Pat Sabatini won by Submission (R1)
Sabatini 39%61% Pearce
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Pearce)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Pearce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Sabatini)
WelterweightHIT
Themba Gorimbo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gorimbo 55%45% Price
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +16(favors Gorimbo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Price)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Gorimbo)
HeavyweightMISS
Junior Tafa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tafa 47%53% Sharaf
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -221(favors Sharaf)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Tafa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sharaf)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Julia Polastri won by Decision - Split (R3)
Polastri 39%61% McKenna
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -143(favors McKenna)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Polastri)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Polastri)
BantamweightMISS
Cody Haddon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Haddon 46%54% Argueta
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +115(favors Haddon)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Argueta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Argueta)
FlyweightMISS
Clayton Carpenter won by Submission (R2)
Carpenter 37%63% Rocha
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +131(favors Carpenter)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Carpenter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rocha)