UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Saturday, April 14, 2012·Stockholm, Sweden
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Alexander Gustafsson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gustafsson 56%44% Silva
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +217(favors Gustafsson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Gustafsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Gustafsson)
Middleweight✓
Brian Stann won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stann 56%44% Sakara
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Stann)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Stann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sakara)
Welterweight✗
Siyar Bahadurzada won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bahadurzada 35%65% Thiago
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -214(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Thiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Thiago)
Featherweight✗
Dennis Siver won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Siver 48%52% Nunes
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +270(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Nunes)
Welterweight✓
John Maguire won by Submission (R2)
Maguire 61%39% Johnson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +18(favors Maguire)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Maguire)
Bantamweight✗
Brad Pickett won by Submission (R2)
Pickett 34%66% Page
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +27(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Page)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Page)
Welterweight✓
James Head won by Submission (R1)
Head 60%40% Abedi
LEAN
→Elo gap: -64(favors Abedi)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Abedi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Abedi)
Light Heavyweight✓
Cyrille Diabate won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Diabate 60%40% DeBlass
LEAN
→Elo gap: -71(favors DeBlass)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Diabate)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Diabate)
Middleweight✓
Francis Carmont won by Submission (R2)
Carmont 67%33% Cedenblad
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Carmont)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Carmont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Carmont)
Lightweight✗
Reza Madadi won by Submission (R2)
Madadi 41%59% Izquierdo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Izquierdo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Izquierdo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Izquierdo)
Welterweight✗
Simeon Thoresen won by Submission (R2)
Thoresen 45%55% Yousef
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Yousef)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Yousef)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yousef)
Featherweight✓
Jason Young won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Young 59%41% Wisely
LEAN
→Elo gap: -102(favors Wisely)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Young)