UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Saturday, November 12, 2011·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 9/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santos 59%41% Velasquez
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Velasquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Velasquez)
Lightweight✓
Benson Henderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Henderson 53%47% Guida
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -159(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Henderson)
Featherweight✓
Dustin Poirier won by Submission (R2)
Poirier 62%38% Garza
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -50(favors Garza)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Garza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Poirier)
Featherweight✓
Ricardo Lamas won by Submission (R2)
Lamas 58%42% Swanson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Lamas)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Lamas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Lamas)
Welterweight✓
DaMarques Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 52%48% Harvison
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +57(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Harvison)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Johnson)
Bantamweight✓
Darren Uyenoyama won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Uyenoyama 58%42% Yamamoto
LEAN
→Elo gap: +85(favors Uyenoyama)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Yamamoto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yamamoto)
Featherweight
Semerzier 40%60% Peralta
LEAN
→Elo gap: -39(favors Peralta)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +12.6(favors Semerzier)
Bantamweight✓
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 54%46% Escovedo
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -3(favors Escovedo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Escovedo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Escovedo)
Welterweight✓
Mike Pierce won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pierce 70%30% Bradley
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +320(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Pierce)
Light Heavyweight✓
Aaron Rosa won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Rosa 72%28% Lucas
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -132(favors Lucas)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.4(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lucas)