UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Saturday, September 28, 2024·Paris, Ile-de-France, France
Model Record: 9/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Renato Moicano won by KO/TKO (R2)
Moicano 54%46% Denis
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Moicano)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Denis)
Middleweight✓
Nassourdine Imavov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Imavov 55%45% Allen
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Imavov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Imavov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Allen)
Featherweight✗
William Gomis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gomis 41%59% Brito
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -258(favors Brito)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Brito)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Brito)
Welterweight✓
Bryan Battle won by KO/TKO (R2)
Battle 53%47% Jousset
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +98(favors Battle)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Jousset)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Jousset)
Featherweight✓
Morgan Charriere won by KO/TKO (R2)
Charriere 70%30% Miranda
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +102(favors Charriere)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Charriere)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Miranda)
Lightweight✗
Fares Ziam won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ziam 48%52% Frevola
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -80(favors Frevola)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.5(favors Frevola)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Frevola)
Light Heavyweight✓
Ion Cutelaba won by Decision - Split (R3)
Cutelaba 51%49% Erslan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +42(favors Cutelaba)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Cutelaba)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Cutelaba)
Light Heavyweight✗
Oumar Sy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sy 49%51% Jung
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +62(favors Sy)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.1(favors Sy)
Lightweight✓
Ludovit Klein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Klein 85%15% Roberts
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +439(favors Klein)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Klein)
Bantamweight✓
Taylor Lapilus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lapilus 74%26% Morales
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +223(favors Lapilus)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Lapilus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Morales)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Ailin Perez won by Submission (R1)
Perez 52%48% Zhelezniakova
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +6(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Zhelezniakova)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.2(favors Perez)
Flyweight✗
Daniel Barez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barez 26%74% Altamirano
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -61(favors Altamirano)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Barez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Altamirano)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Jacqueline Cavalcanti won by Decision - Split (R3)
Cavalcanti 59%41% Cornolle
LEAN
→Elo gap: -115(favors Cornolle)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Cavalcanti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cornolle)
Lightweight✗
Chris Duncan won by Submission (R1)
Duncan 45%55% Oki
LEAN
→Elo gap: -12(favors Oki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Duncan)