The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Saturday, June 4, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightMISS
Tony Ferguson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferguson 40%60% Nijem
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Nijem)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nijem)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guida 61%39% Pettis
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +439(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Guida)
MiddleweightHIT
Ed Herman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Herman 50%50% Credeur
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -244(favors Credeur)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Credeur)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Herman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Kyle Kingsbury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kingsbury 61%39% Maldonado
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Kingsbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kingsbury)
WelterweightMISS
Chris Cope won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cope 38%62% O'Neil
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors O'Neil)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors O'Neil)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors O'Neil)
LightweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stephens 65%35% Downes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +286(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Stephens)
FeatherweightMISS
George Roop won by KO/TKO (R3)
Roop 46%54% Grispi
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -6(favors Grispi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Grispi)
WelterweightMISS
Shamar Bailey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bailey 39%61% McGillivray
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors McGillivray)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors McGillivray)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McGillivray)
WelterweightMISS
Clay Harvison won by Decision - Split (R3)
Harvison 40%60% Edwards
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Edwards)
BantamweightMISS
Scott Jorgensen won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jorgensen 50%50% Stone
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stone)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stone)
BantamweightHIT
Reuben Duran won by Submission (R3)
Duran 56%44% Rivera
LEAN
→Elo gap: -68(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Duran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rivera)