UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Saturday, April 30, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
St-Pierre 80%20% Shields
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +762(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors St-Pierre)
Featherweight✗
Jose Aldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Aldo 44%56% Hominick
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -282(favors Hominick)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Hominick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hominick)
Light Heavyweight✓
Lyoto Machida won by KO/TKO (R2)
Machida 63%37% Couture
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +9(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Machida)
Light Heavyweight✓
Vladimir Matyushenko won by KO/TKO (R1)
Matyushenko 63%37% Brilz
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Matyushenko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Brilz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Matyushenko)
Lightweight✗
Benson Henderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Henderson 31%69% Bocek
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -248(favors Bocek)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Bocek)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Bocek)
Welterweight✗
Rory MacDonald won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
MacDonald 41%59% Diaz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -331(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors MacDonald)
Welterweight✓
Jake Ellenberger won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ellenberger 66%34% Pierson
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +181(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Pierson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Ellenberger)
Welterweight✗
Claude Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 40%60% Roberts
LEAN
→Elo gap: -56(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Patrick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Roberts)
Bantamweight✓
Ivan Menjivar won by KO/TKO (R1)
Menjivar 60%40% Valencia
LEAN
→Elo gap: -66(favors Valencia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Valencia)
Middleweight✓
Jason MacDonald won by Submission (R1)
MacDonald 54%46% Jensen
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Jensen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Jensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Jensen)
Lightweight✓
John Makdessi won by KO/TKO (R3)
Makdessi 69%31% Watson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -23(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Watson)
Featherweight✓
Pablo Garza won by Submission (R1)
Garza 67%33% Jabouin
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Garza)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Garza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jabouin)