UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Saturday, March 26, 2011·Seattle, Washington, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 81%19% Nogueira
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Davis)
Welterweight✓
Anthony Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 59%41% Hardy
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -19(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Johnson)
Welterweight✓
Amir Sadollah won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sadollah 56%44% Johnson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +34(favors Sadollah)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Sadollah)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Sadollah)
Featherweight✓
Chan Sung Jung won by Submission (R2)
Jung 56%44% Garcia
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Garcia)
Heavyweight✓
Mike Russow won by KO/TKO (R2)
Russow 57%43% Madsen
LEAN
→Elo gap: +51(favors Russow)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Madsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Russow)
Featherweight✗
Mackens Semerzier won by Submission (R1)
Semerzier 37%63% Caceres
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Caceres)
Welterweight✓
John Hathaway won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hathaway 76%24% McCray
STRONG
→Elo gap: +405(favors Hathaway)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Hathaway)
Bantamweight✓
Michael McDonald won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McDonald 56%44% Figueroa
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Figueroa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Figueroa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Figueroa)
Heavyweight✓
Christian Morecraft won by Submission (R2)
Morecraft 73%27% McCorkle
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -106(favors McCorkle)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Morecraft)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors McCorkle)
Welterweight✗
Johny Hendricks won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hendricks 43%57% Waldburger
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +168(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Hendricks)
Middleweight✓
Aaron Simpson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simpson 50%50% Miranda
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -22(favors Miranda)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Simpson)
Lightweight✓
Nik Lentz won by Submission (R3)
Lentz 77%23% Lowe
STRONG
→Elo gap: +189(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Lentz)