UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Saturday, January 22, 2011·Killeen, Texas, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Melvin Guillard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guillard 53%47% Dunham
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Dunham)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Dunham)
Heavyweight✓
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mitrione 64%36% Hague
LEAN
→Elo gap: +459(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Hague)
Featherweight✓
Mark Hominick won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hominick 70%30% Roop
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +293(favors Hominick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Hominick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Roop)
Heavyweight✗
Pat Barry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barry 43%57% Beltran
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Beltran)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Beltran)
Lightweight✓
Matt Wiman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wiman 61%39% Miller
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -97(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Wiman)
Lightweight✗
Yves Edwards won by Submission (R2)
Edwards 47%53% McKenzie
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors McKenzie)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.7(favors McKenzie)
Welterweight✗
DaMarques Johnson won by Submission (R1)
Johnson 47%53% Guymon
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +104(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Guymon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Guymon)
Featherweight✓
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 52%48% Brown
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +158(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Brown)
Lightweight✓
Waylon Lowe won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lowe 61%39% Freire
LEAN
→Elo gap: -5(favors Freire)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Lowe)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Lowe)
Welterweight✓
Charlie Brenneman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brenneman 72%28% Alves
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +82(favors Brenneman)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Brenneman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.8(favors Brenneman)
Bantamweight✗
Chris Cariaso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cariaso 40%60% Campuzano
LEAN
→Elo gap: +111(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Campuzano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Campuzano)