The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Saturday, June 20, 2009·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sanchez 56%44% Guida
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +124(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Guida)
Welterweight✗
James Wilks won by Submission (R1)
Wilks 37%63% Johnson
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
Welterweight✓
Chris Lytle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lytle 60%40% Burns
LEAN
→Elo gap: +87(favors Lytle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lytle)
Lightweight✓
Ross Pearson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pearson 52%48% Winner
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Winner)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Winner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Winner)
Lightweight✓
Joe Stevenson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stevenson 50%50% Diaz
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Diaz)
Lightweight✗
Melvin Guillard won by Decision - Split (R3)
Guillard 47%53% Tibau
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -161(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Tibau)
Welterweight✓
Brad Blackburn won by Decision - Split (R3)
Blackburn 60%40% Garcia
LEAN
→Elo gap: +195(favors Blackburn)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Blackburn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Garcia)
Light Heavyweight✓
Tomasz Drwal won by KO/TKO (R1)
Drwal 69%31% Ciesnolevicz
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -30(favors Ciesnolevicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Drwal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Drwal)
Welterweight✗
Nick Osipczak won by Submission (R1)
Osipczak 47%53% Lester
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lester)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lester)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lester)
Lightweight✗
Jason Dent won by Submission (R1)
Dent 40%60% Dollar
LEAN
→Elo gap: -170(favors Dollar)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Dent)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dollar)