UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Saturday, October 25, 2008·Rosemont, Illinois, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R3)
Silva 61%39% Cote
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +404(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Silva)
Welterweight✓
Thiago Alves won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alves 73%27% Koscheck
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Koscheck)
Lightweight✓
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 67%33% Clementi
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +30(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Maynard)
Heavyweight✗
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santos 44%56% Werdum
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -361(favors Werdum)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Werdum)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Werdum)
Lightweight✗
Sean Sherk won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sherk 50%50% Griffin
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Sherk)
Middleweight✓
Thales Leites won by Submission (R1)
Leites 63%37% McFedries
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +334(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Leites)
Lightweight✓
Spencer Fisher won by Submission (R3)
Fisher 60%40% Gugerty
LEAN
→Elo gap: +93(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Gugerty)
Middleweight✓
Dan Miller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miller 62%38% Horwich
LEAN
→Elo gap: +133(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Horwich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Horwich)
Lightweight✓
Hermes Franca won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Franca 66%34% Aurelio
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Franca)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Aurelio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Franca)
Welterweight✗
Pete Sell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sell 27%73% Burkman
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -242(favors Burkman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Burkman)