UFC 85: Bedlam
Saturday, June 7, 2008·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Thiago Alves won by KO/TKO (R2)
Alves 60%40% Hughes
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Hughes)
Middleweight✓
Michael Bisping won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bisping 62%38% Day
LEAN
→Elo gap: +126(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Day)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Bisping)
Welterweight✓
Mike Swick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Swick 54%46% Davis
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Davis)
Middleweight✗
Thales Leites won by Decision - Split (R3)
Leites 45%55% Marquardt
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -153(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Leites)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Marquardt)
Heavyweight✓
Fabricio Werdum won by KO/TKO (R1)
Werdum 57%43% Vera
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Vera)
Middleweight✓
Martin Kampmann won by Submission (R1)
Kampmann 68%32% Rivera
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +223(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Kampmann)
Lightweight✓
Matt Wiman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Wiman 53%47% Tavares
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Wiman)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Tavares)
Welterweight✗
Kevin Burns won by Submission (R2)
Burns 32%68% Carneiro
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -151(favors Carneiro)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Carneiro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.1(favors Carneiro)
Light Heavyweight✓
Luiz Cane won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cane 72%28% Lambert
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -126(favors Lambert)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.8(favors Cane)
Welterweight✗
Paul Taylor won by Decision - Split (R3)
Taylor 47%53% Liaudin
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -186(favors Liaudin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Liaudin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Taylor)
Heavyweight✓
Antoni Hardonk won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hardonk 58%42% Sanchez
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -158(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Sanchez)