UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Saturday, July 20, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Strawweight✓
Virna Jandiroba won by Submission (R2)
Jandiroba 58%42% Lemos
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Lemos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Jandiroba)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Jandiroba)
Featherweight✓
Steve Garcia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Garcia 66%34% Choi
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +369(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Garcia)
Lightweight✗
Kurt Holobaugh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holobaugh 40%60% Kruschewsky
LEAN
→Elo gap: -70(favors Kruschewsky)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Holobaugh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Holobaugh)
Flyweight✗
Bruno Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 30%70% Durden
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +143(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Durden)
Featherweight✗
Dooho Choi won by KO/TKO (R2)
Choi 35%65% Algeo
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -119(favors Algeo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Algeo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Algeo)
Featherweight✗
Hyder Amil won by KO/TKO (R1)
Amil 33%67% Lee
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -66(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.5(favors Amil)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Amil)
Bantamweight✗
Cody Gibson won by Submission (R1)
Gibson 41%59% Kelleher
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Kelleher)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Gibson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Kelleher)
Women's Flyweight✓
Miranda Maverick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maverick 75%25% Barbosa
STRONG
→Elo gap: +151(favors Maverick)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Maverick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Maverick)
Lightweight✓
Trey Ogden won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ogden 61%39% Radzhabov
LEAN
→Elo gap: -26(favors Radzhabov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ogden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.1(favors Radzhabov)
Women's Flyweight✓
Luana Carolina won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carolina 61%39% Pudilova
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +304(favors Carolina)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Carolina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pudilova)
Heavyweight✓
Thomas Petersen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petersen 52%48% Usman
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -199(favors Usman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Petersen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Petersen)