UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Saturday, October 20, 2007·Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
Model Record: 6/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 47%53% Franklin
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -17(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Franklin)
Heavyweight✓
Tim Sylvia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sylvia 61%39% Vera
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +55(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)
Lightweight✗
Alvin Robinson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Robinson 48%52% Gurgel
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -129(favors Gurgel)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Gurgel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Robinson)
Light Heavyweight✓
Stephan Bonnar won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bonnar 62%38% Schafer
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +191(favors Bonnar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Bonnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Schafer)
Middleweight✓
Alan Belcher won by KO/TKO (R2)
Belcher 60%40% Starnes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +13(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Starnes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Starnes)
Middleweight✓
Yushin Okami won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Okami 74%26% MacDonald
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Okami)
Middleweight✗
Demian Maia won by Submission (R1)
Maia 48%52% Jensen
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +75(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Jensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jensen)
Welterweight✓
Joshua Burkman won by Decision - Split (R3)
Burkman 70%30% Petz
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Burkman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Petz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Burkman)
Lightweight✓
Matt Grice won by Decision - Split (R3)
Grice 84%16% Black
STRONG
→Elo gap: -27(favors Black)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Grice)