UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian
Wednesday, September 19, 2007·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Kenny Florian won by Submission (R1)
Florian 59%41% Thomas
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Thomas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Florian)
Middleweight✗
Chris Leben won by KO/TKO (R3)
Leben 43%57% Martin
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -219(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Martin)
Lightweight✓
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R1)
Diaz 66%34% Assuncao
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +129(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Assuncao)
Middleweight✗
Nate Quarry won by KO/TKO (R3)
Quarry 38%62% Sell
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +475(favors Quarry)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Sell)
Welterweight✓
Luke Cummo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cummo 75%25% Oliveira
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +157(favors Cummo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Cummo)
Lightweight✓
Cole Miller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miller 78%22% Garcia
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.6(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Garcia)
Lightweight✓
Gray Maynard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Maynard 77%23% Veres
STRONG
→Elo gap: -0(favors Veres)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Maynard)
Welterweight✓
Thiago Alves won by KO/TKO (R2)
Alves 66%34% Hironaka
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +199(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Hironaka)
Welterweight✓
Dustin Hazelett won by Submission (R1)
Hazelett 67%33% Goulet
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Hazelett)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Hazelett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Goulet)