UFC 68: The Uprising
Saturday, March 3, 2007·Columbus, Ohio, USA
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Randy Couture won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Couture 61%39% Sylvia
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -157(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Couture)
MiddleweightHIT
Martin Kampmann won by Submission (R1)
Kampmann 69%31% McFedries
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +66(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors McFedries)
MiddleweightHIT
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Franklin 75%25% MacDonald
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +180(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Franklin)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Hughes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hughes 78%22% Lytle
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +615(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Hughes)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jason Lambert won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lambert 41%59% Sobral
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -178(favors Sobral)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Lambert)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Sobral)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Matt Hamill won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hamill 85%15% Holman
STRONG
→Elo gap: +183(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Hamill)
WelterweightHIT
Jon Fitch won by Submission (R2)
Fitch 74%26% Fioravanti
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Fitch)
LightweightMISS
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tibau 48%52% Dent
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +0(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Dent)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dent)
LightweightHIT
Jamie Varner won by Submission (R1)
Varner 82%18% Gilliam
STRONG
→Elo gap: -60(favors Gilliam)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Varner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +10.0(favors Varner)