Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Tuesday, October 10, 2006·Hollywood, Florida, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tito Ortiz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ortiz 82%18% Shamrock
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +329(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Ortiz)
MiddleweightHIT
Kendall Grove won by KO/TKO (R1)
Grove 69%31% Price
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +85(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Price)
MiddleweightMISS
Jason MacDonald won by Submission (R1)
MacDonald 46%54% Herman
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Herman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Matt Hamill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hamill 71%29% Petruzelli
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +128(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.9(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Hamill)
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Marquardt won by Submission (R2)
Marquardt 85%15% Wallace
STRONG
→Elo gap: +301(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Marquardt)
WelterweightHIT
Tony DeSouza won by Submission (R1)
DeSouza 55%45% Hazelett
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Hazelett)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors DeSouza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors DeSouza)
MiddleweightHIT
Rory Singer won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Singer 56%44% Haynes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +238(favors Singer)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Singer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Haynes)
WelterweightHIT
Thiago Alves won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alves 54%46% Alessio
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +120(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Alves)
WelterweightHIT
Marcus Davis won by Submission (R1)
Davis 53%47% Petz
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -183(favors Petz)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Petz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.0(favors Petz)