UFC 59: Reality Check
Saturday, April 15, 2006·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 6/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✗
Tim Sylvia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sylvia 34%66% Arlovski
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -261(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Sylvia)
Welterweight✓
Sean Sherk won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sherk 51%49% Diaz
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Sherk)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Sherk)
Light Heavyweight✓
Tito Ortiz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ortiz 53%47% Griffin
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +163(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Ortiz)
Middleweight✓
Evan Tanner won by Submission (R1)
Tanner 66%34% Levens
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +142(favors Tanner)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Tanner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Tanner)
Heavyweight✗
Jeff Monson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Monson 31%69% Cruz
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -223(favors Cruz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Cruz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Monson)
Welterweight✓
Karo Parisyan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Parisyan 70%30% Thompson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +184(favors Parisyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Thompson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Parisyan)
Middleweight✓
David Terrell won by Submission (R1)
Terrell 70%30% Smith
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +124(favors Terrell)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Terrell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Terrell)
Light Heavyweight✗
Jason Lambert won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lambert 48%52% Martin
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +290(favors Lambert)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Lambert)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Lambert)
Welterweight✓
Thiago Alves won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alves 73%27% Noble
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +56(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Alves)