UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Saturday, June 4, 2005·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 8/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Andrei Arlovski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Arlovski 83%17% Eilers
STRONG
→Elo gap: +465(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Eilers)
Welterweight✓
Karo Parisyan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parisyan 75%25% Serra
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Parisyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Serra)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Parisyan)
Middleweight✓
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R4)
Franklin 56%44% Tanner
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Tanner)
Light Heavyweight✓
Forrest Griffin won by Submission (R1)
Griffin 84%16% Mahood
STRONG
→Elo gap: +85(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Griffin)
Heavyweight✓
Paul Buentello won by Submission (R1)
Buentello 81%19% Jordan
STRONG
→Elo gap: +183(favors Buentello)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.2(favors Buentello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jordan)
Middleweight✓
Nate Quarry won by KO/TKO (R1)
Quarry 58%42% Carter
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Quarry)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.1(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Carter)
Middleweight✓
David Loiseau won by KO/TKO (R2)
Loiseau 61%39% McCarthy
LEAN
→Elo gap: +137(favors Loiseau)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Loiseau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Loiseau)
Welterweight✓
Nick Diaz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diaz 82%18% Oishi
STRONG
→Elo gap: +236(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Oishi)