UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Friday, July 16, 1999·Cedar Rapids, Iowa, USA·8 fights
Model: 4/8(50%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightMISS
Maurice Smith won by KO/TKO (R1)
Smith 27%73% Ruas
Over/UnderUnder 66%
Under 66%Over 34%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -230(favors Ruas)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ruas)
LightweightHIT
Pat Miletich won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miletich 78%22% Pederneiras
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +351(favors Miletich)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Miletich)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Miletich)
MiddleweightHIT
Jeremy Horn won by KO/TKO (R1)
Horn 58%42% Takase
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +98(favors Horn)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Horn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Horn)
MiddleweightMISS
Paul Jones won by Submission (R1)
Jones 43%57% Moura
Over/UnderUnder 67%
Under 67%Over 33%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Moura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Moura)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moura)
HeavyweightHIT
Tsuyoshi Kohsaka won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kohsaka 74%26% Lajcik
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +41(favors Kohsaka)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Kohsaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Kohsaka)
Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Eugene Jackson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jackson 50%50% Alger
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +166(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Alger)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alger)
HeavyweightMISS
Andre Roberts won by KO/TKO (R1)
Roberts 20%80% Waterman
Over/UnderUnder 70%
Under 70%Over 30%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -308(favors Waterman)
→Striking volume advantage: -12.6(favors Waterman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -32.1(favors Waterman)
HeavyweightHIT
Travis Fulton won by Decision - Unanimous (R2)
Fulton 60%40% Dodd
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -59(favors Dodd)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Fulton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dodd)