UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Saturday, April 6, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Brendan Allen won by Decision - Split (R5)
Allen 77%23% Curtis
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +275(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Curtis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Allen)
Featherweight✗
Damon Jackson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jackson 48%52% Hernandez
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Jackson)
Featherweight✓
Chepe Mariscal won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mariscal 52%48% Charriere
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Mariscal)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Charriere)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Mariscal)
Lightweight✓
Ignacio Bahamondes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bahamondes 63%37% Giagos
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Bahamondes)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Bahamondes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Giagos)
Lightweight✓
Charlie Campbell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Campbell 54%46% Peek
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +46(favors Campbell)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.2(favors Campbell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Peek)
Welterweight✓
Alex Morono won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morono 59%41% McGee
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +299(favors Morono)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors McGee)
Heavyweight✗
Lukasz Brzeski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brzeski 33%67% Walker
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -192(favors Walker)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Brzeski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dumont 59%41% Randamie
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -151(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Dumont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Dumont)
Bantamweight✓
Victor Hugo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hugo 51%49% Falcao
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Falcao)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Falcao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Falcao)
Bantamweight✗
Jean Matsumoto won by Submission (R2)
Matsumoto 40%60% Argueta
LEAN
→Elo gap: -53(favors Argueta)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Argueta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Argueta)
Middleweight✗
Cesar Almeida won by KO/TKO (R2)
Almeida 33%67% Budka
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Budka)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Budka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Budka)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Nora Cornolle won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cornolle 49%51% Mullins
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -11(favors Mullins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Mullins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mullins)