UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Saturday, February 24, 2024·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✗
Brandon Royval won by Decision - Split (R5)
Royval 27%73% Moreno
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -264(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Moreno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Moreno)
Featherweight✗
Brian Ortega won by Submission (R3)
Ortega 29%71% Rodriguez
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -206(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Ortega)
Lightweight✓
Daniel Zellhuber won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zellhuber 58%42% Prado
LEAN
→Elo gap: +44(favors Zellhuber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Zellhuber)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prado)
Women's Strawweight✓
Yazmin Jauregui won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jauregui 51%49% Hughes
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -90(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Jauregui)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Hughes)
Lightweight✗
Manuel Torres won by Submission (R1)
Torres 46%54% Duncan
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +55(favors Torres)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Duncan)
Bantamweight✗
Raoni Barcelos won by Submission (R3)
Barcelos 37%63% Quinonez
LEAN
→Elo gap: +0(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Quinonez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Barcelos)
Flyweight✗
Jesus Aguilar won by Decision - Split (R3)
Aguilar 49%51% Mendonca
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +172(favors Aguilar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Mendonca)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Mendonca)
Flyweight✓
Edgar Chairez won by Submission (R1)
Chairez 65%35% Lacerda
LEAN
→Elo gap: +313(favors Chairez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Lacerda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Lacerda)
Lightweight✓
Fares Ziam won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ziam 56%44% Puelles
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -7(favors Puelles)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Ziam)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Puelles)
Flyweight✓
Ronaldo Rodriguez won by Submission (R2)
Rodriguez 53%47% Bondar
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +212(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Bondar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Bondar)
Flyweight✗
Felipe dos Santos won by Decision - Split (R3)
Santos 44%56% Altamirano
LEAN
→Elo gap: -49(favors Altamirano)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Altamirano)
Featherweight✓
Muhammad Naimov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Naimov 67%33% Silva
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +448(favors Naimov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Naimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Silva)