UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Saturday, February 17, 2024·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Ilia Topuria won by KO/TKO (R2)
Topuria 51%49% Volkanovski
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -251(favors Volkanovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Volkanovski)
Middleweight✓
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 71%29% Costa
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Whittaker)
Welterweight✓
Ian Machado Garry won by Decision - Split (R3)
Garry 71%29% Neal
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Garry)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Garry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Garry)
Bantamweight✓
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 65%35% Cejudo
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Cejudo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Dvalishvili)
Middleweight✓
Anthony Hernandez won by Submission (R2)
Hernandez 58%42% Kopylov
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Kopylov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Hernandez)
Women's Strawweight✓
Amanda Lemos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lemos 53%47% Dern
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +320(favors Lemos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Dern)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Dern)
Heavyweight✗
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lima 34%66% Tafa
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Lima)
Bantamweight✓
Rinya Nakamura won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nakamura 73%27% Vera
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +150(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Nakamura)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Nakamura)
Light Heavyweight✗
Zhang Mingyang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mingyang 43%57% Ribeiro
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ribeiro)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ribeiro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ribeiro)
Welterweight✓
Danny Barlow won by KO/TKO (R3)
Barlow 51%49% Quinlan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +9(favors Barlow)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Quinlan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Quinlan)
Welterweight✓
Oban Elliott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elliott 65%35% Woodburn
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +110(favors Elliott)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Woodburn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Woodburn)
Women's Flyweight✓
Miranda Maverick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maverick 71%29% Lee
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Maverick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Maverick)