UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Saturday, November 4, 2023·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Jailton Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Almeida 89%11% Lewis
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Almeida)
Welterweight✓
Nicolas Dalby won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dalby 62%38% Bonfim
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +133(favors Dalby)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Bonfim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.8(favors Bonfim)
Heavyweight✗
Rodrigo Nascimento won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nascimento 47%53% Mayes
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors Nascimento)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Nascimento)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Nascimento)
Middleweight✓
Caio Borralho won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borralho 78%22% Magomedov
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +291(favors Borralho)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Magomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Borralho)
Catch Weight✓
Elves Brener won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brener 75%25% Kruschewsky
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +208(favors Brener)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Brener)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Brener)
Welterweight
Fakhretdinov 63%37% Santos
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +5(favors Fakhretdinov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.4(favors Fakhretdinov)
Light Heavyweight✓
Vitor Petrino won by KO/TKO (R2)
Petrino 64%36% Bukauskas
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +124(favors Petrino)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Bukauskas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.8(favors Petrino)
Women's Strawweight✗
Angela Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 41%59% Gomes
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -111(favors Gomes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Gomes)
Women's Strawweight✓
Eduarda Moura won by KO/TKO (R2)
Moura 65%35% Ruiz
LEAN
→Elo gap: +153(favors Moura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Ruiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Ruiz)
Lightweight✓
Marc Diakiese won by Decision - Split (R3)
Diakiese 57%43% Fernandes
LEAN
→Elo gap: -22(favors Fernandes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Diakiese)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Diakiese)