UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Saturday, October 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✗
Edson Barboza won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Barboza 33%67% Yusuff
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Yusuff)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Yusuff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Yusuff)
Women's Flyweight✗
Viviane Araujo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Araujo 40%60% Maia
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -207(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Araujo)
Bantamweight✓
Jonathan Martinez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Martinez 60%40% Yanez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +225(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Yanez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Martinez)
Middleweight✗
Michel Pereira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pereira 47%53% Petroski
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +86(favors Pereira)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Pereira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Petroski)
Bantamweight✗
Christian Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 50%50% Saaiman
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Saaiman)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Saaiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Saaiman)
Featherweight✓
Darren Elkins won by Submission (R3)
Elkins 58%42% Brown
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +176(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Elkins)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Tainara Lisboa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lisboa 55%45% Oliveira
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +58(favors Lisboa)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Lisboa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Lisboa)
Lightweight✓
Terrance McKinney won by KO/TKO (R1)
McKinney 61%39% Marotte
LEAN
→Elo gap: +17(favors McKinney)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors McKinney)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors McKinney)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Melissa Mullins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mullins 45%55% Alekseeva
LEAN
→Elo gap: -154(favors Alekseeva)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.2(favors Alekseeva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alekseeva)
Bantamweight✓
Chris Gutierrez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gutierrez 59%41% Alatengheili
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +127(favors Gutierrez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Alatengheili)
Women's Strawweight✓
Emily Ducote won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ducote 55%45% Yoder
LEAN
→Elo gap: +124(favors Ducote)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Ducote)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Yoder)