UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Saturday, November 1, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Steve Garcia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Garcia 50%50% Onama
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Onama)
Heavyweight✓
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Acosta 63%37% Delija
LEAN
→Elo gap: +153(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Delija)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Acosta)
Welterweight✗
Jeremiah Wells won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wells 38%62% Gorimbo
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Gorimbo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Gorimbo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Gorimbo)
Featherweight✓
Yadier del Valle won by Submission (R1)
Valle 53%47% Dulgarian
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -98(favors Dulgarian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Dulgarian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Valle)
Welterweight✗
Charles Radtke won by Submission (R3)
Radtke 49%51% Frunza
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +239(favors Radtke)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Frunza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Radtke)
Catch Weight✓
Allan Nascimento won by Submission (R2)
Nascimento 70%30% Durden
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +374(favors Nascimento)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Durden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Durden)
Light Heavyweight✗
Billy Elekana won by Submission (R1)
Elekana 50%50% Christian
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +62(favors Elekana)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Elekana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Elekana)
Bantamweight✗
Timmy Cuamba won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cuamba 48%52% Lee
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -125(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Lee)
Middleweight✓
Donte Johnson won by Submission (R2)
Johnson 51%49% Dumas
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +106(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Dumas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Dumas)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dumont 63%37% Vieira
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +181(favors Dumont)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Dumont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Dumont)
Women's Strawweight✓
Alice Ardelean won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ardelean 62%38% Ruiz
LEAN
→Elo gap: +144(favors Ardelean)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Ardelean)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Ruiz)
Welterweight✓
Seokhyeon Ko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ko 58%42% Rowe
LEAN
→Elo gap: -108(favors Rowe)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Rowe)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Ko)
Women's Strawweight✓
Talita Alencar won by Submission (R3)
Alencar 55%45% Carnelossi
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +50(favors Alencar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Carnelossi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Alencar)