UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, August 26, 2023·Kallang, Singapore
Model Record: 7/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R3)
Holloway 86%14% Jung
STRONGMarket: 85% (+1.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +241(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Jung)
Light Heavyweight✗
Anthony Smith won by Decision - Split (R3)
Smith 36%64% Spann
LEANMarket: 43% (-6.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Spann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Spann)
Featherweight✓
Giga Chikadze won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chikadze 58%42% Caceres
LEANMarket: 67% (-9.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Chikadze)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Caceres)
Bantamweight✗
Rinya Nakamura won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nakamura 48%52% Garcia
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +323(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: +18.1(favors Nakamura)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Garcia)
Women's Flyweight✓
Erin Blanchfield won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blanchfield 71%29% Santos
CONFIDENTMarket: 55% (+15.8% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +245(favors Blanchfield)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Blanchfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Blanchfield)
Heavyweight✓
Junior Tafa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tafa 63%37% Porter
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Porter)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Porter)
Heavyweight✓
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Acosta 61%39% Brzeski
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +173(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Acosta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Brzeski)
Bantamweight✓
Garrett Armfield won by KO/TKO (R1)
Armfield 51%49% Kazama
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-9.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +39(favors Armfield)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.7(favors Kazama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kazama)
Middleweight✓
Michal Oleksiejczuk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oleksiejczuk 58%42% Njokuani
LEANMarket: 52% (+5.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +142(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Oleksiejczuk)
Welterweight✗
Song Kenan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kenan 36%64% Bedoya
LEAN
→Elo gap: -10(favors Bedoya)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.8(favors Bedoya)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Kenan)
Welterweight✗
Billy Ray Goff won by KO/TKO (R1)
Goff 45%55% Kinoshita
LEANMarket: 41% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +154(favors Goff)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Kinoshita)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kinoshita)
Women's Flyweight✗
JJ Aldrich won by KO/TKO (R2)
Aldrich 47%53% Na
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +291(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Na)
Featherweight✗
SeungWoo Choi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Choi 41%59% Errens
LEAN
→Elo gap: -71(favors Errens)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Choi)