UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Saturday, October 18, 2025·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Brendan Allen won by KO/TKO (R4)
Allen 62%38% Ridder
LEAN
→Elo gap: +33(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ridder)
Welterweight✓
Mike Malott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Malott 52%48% Holland
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -32(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Malott)
Bantamweight✓
Aiemann Zahabi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Zahabi 55%45% Vera
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Zahabi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)
Women's Flyweight✓
Manon Fiorot won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fiorot 54%46% Jasudavicius
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +99(favors Fiorot)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Fiorot)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Jasudavicius)
Bantamweight✓
Charles Jourdain won by Submission (R1)
Jourdain 62%38% Grant
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -165(favors Grant)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Jourdain)
Lightweight✓
Kyle Nelson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nelson 56%44% Frevola
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Frevola)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Frevola)
Lightweight✓
Drew Dober won by KO/TKO (R3)
Dober 60%40% Prepolec
LEAN
→Elo gap: +170(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Dober)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Dober)
Bantamweight✗
Aoriqileng won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aoriqileng 38%62% Gibson
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Aoriqileng)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Gibson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Gibson)
Flyweight✗
Bruno Silva won by Submission (R3)
Silva 35%65% Park
LEAN
→Elo gap: -75(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Park)
Middleweight✗
Djorden Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 43%57% Barlow
LEAN
→Elo gap: -111(favors Barlow)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Santos)
Women's Strawweight✓
Stephanie Luciano won by Submission (R3)
Luciano 51%49% Oliveira
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +95(favors Luciano)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Luciano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Oliveira)
Middleweight✗
Yousri Belgaroui won by KO/TKO (R3)
Belgaroui 30%70% Bekoev
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -267(favors Bekoev)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.6(favors Bekoev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Bekoev)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Melissa Croden won by KO/TKO (R3)
Croden 41%59% Lisboa
LEAN
→Elo gap: -5(favors Lisboa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Lisboa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Lisboa)