UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 11/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alex Pereira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pereira 52%48% Ankalaev
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Pereira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ankalaev)
BantamweightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Dvalishvili 74%26% Sandhagen
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Dvalishvili)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Dvalishvili)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jiri Prochazka won by KO/TKO (R3)
Prochazka 66%34% Jr.
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Prochazka)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Prochazka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Prochazka)
FeatherweightHIT
Youssef Zalal won by Submission (R1)
Zalal 69%31% Emmett
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -115(favors Emmett)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Zalal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Zalal)
MiddleweightHIT
Joe Pyfer won by Submission (R2)
Pyfer 59%41% Magomedov
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors Pyfer)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Pyfer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Magomedov)
MiddleweightHIT
Ateba Gautier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gautier 73%27% Vines
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +139(favors Gautier)
→Striking volume advantage: +10.0(favors Gautier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vines)
Catch WeightHIT
Daniel Santos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Santos 55%45% Yoo
LEAN
→Elo gap: +162(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.1(favors Yoo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Santos)
BantamweightMISS
Jakub Wiklacz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Wiklacz 38%62% Mix
LEAN
→Elo gap: +7(favors Wiklacz)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.1(favors Mix)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mix)
MiddleweightHIT
Edmen Shahbazyan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Shahbazyan 63%37% Muniz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +90(favors Shahbazyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Shahbazyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Muniz)
WelterweightHIT
Punahele Soriano won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Soriano 68%32% Veretennikov
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +206(favors Soriano)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Soriano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Soriano)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Yana Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 42%58% Chiasson
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Chiasson)
BantamweightHIT
Farid Basharat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Basharat 53%47% Gutierrez
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -83(favors Gutierrez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Basharat)
WelterweightMISS
Ramiz Brahimaj won by Submission (R2)
Brahimaj 39%61% Vanderford
LEAN
→Elo gap: +30(favors Brahimaj)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Vanderford)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Vanderford)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Veronica Hardy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hardy 79%21% Walker
STRONG
→Elo gap: +262(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Hardy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Hardy)