UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA·13 fights
Model: 8/13(62%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightMISS
Josh Emmett won by Decision - Split (R5)
Emmett 32%68% Kattar
Over/UnderOver 70%
Under 30%Over 70%
CONFIDENTMarket: 30% (+2.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +1(favors Emmett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Kattar)
WelterweightHIT
Kevin Holland won by Submission (R2)
Holland 82%18% Means
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+7.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Means)
MiddleweightMISS
Joaquin Buckley won by KO/TKO (R2)
Buckley 35%65% Duraev
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENTMarket: 34% (+1.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +42(favors Buckley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Duraev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Buckley)
LightweightHIT
Damir Ismagulov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ismagulov 74%26% Kutateladze
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+8.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +215(favors Ismagulov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ismagulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Ismagulov)
MiddleweightHIT
Gregory Rodrigues won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rodrigues 51%49% Marquez
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-8.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -82(favors Marquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Rodrigues)
BantamweightHIT
Adrian Yanez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Yanez 71%29% Kelley
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +267(favors Yanez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Yanez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kelley)
Prelims
Women's FlyweightMISS
Natalia Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 30%70% Jasudavicius
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (-2.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -121(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Jasudavicius)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Jasudavicius)
WelterweightHIT
Jeremiah Wells won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wells 61%39% McGee
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 60% (+0.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +249(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors McGee)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ramos 81%19% Chavez
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +178(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Ramos)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Maria Oliveira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oliveira 32%68% Paula
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -5(favors Paula)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Paula)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Stamann won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stamann 88%12% Wineland
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 86% (+2.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Wineland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Stamann)
MiddleweightHIT
Phil Hawes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hawes 79%21% Winn
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 70% (+8.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +6(favors Hawes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Winn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Winn)
MiddleweightMISS
Roman Dolidze won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dolidze 24%76% Daukaus
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 29% (-5.3% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Daukaus)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Dolidze)