UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✗
Josh Emmett won by Decision - Split (R5)
Emmett 30%70% Kattar
CONFIDENTMarket: 30% (-0.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Emmett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Kattar)
Welterweight✓
Kevin Holland won by Submission (R2)
Holland 82%18% Means
STRONGMarket: 74% (+7.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Means)
Middleweight✗
Joaquin Buckley won by KO/TKO (R2)
Buckley 38%62% Duraev
LEANMarket: 34% (+4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Buckley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Duraev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Buckley)
Lightweight✓
Damir Ismagulov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ismagulov 74%26% Kutateladze
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+8.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +173(favors Ismagulov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ismagulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Ismagulov)
Middleweight✓
Gregory Rodrigues won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rodrigues 63%37% Marquez
LEANMarket: 60% (+2.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Marquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Rodrigues)
Bantamweight✓
Adrian Yanez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Yanez 72%28% Kelley
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-1.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +226(favors Yanez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Yanez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kelley)
Women's Flyweight✗
Natalia Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 41%59% Jasudavicius
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Jasudavicius)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Jasudavicius)
Welterweight✓
Jeremiah Wells won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wells 57%43% McGee
LEANMarket: 60% (-3.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +153(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors McGee)
Featherweight✓
Ricardo Ramos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ramos 82%18% Chavez
STRONGMarket: 74% (+8.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +95(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Ramos)
Women's Strawweight✗
Maria Oliveira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oliveira 34%66% Paula
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+5.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +15(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Paula)
Bantamweight✓
Cody Stamann won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stamann 90%10% Wineland
STRONGMarket: 86% (+4.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Wineland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Stamann)
Middleweight✓
Phil Hawes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hawes 84%16% Winn
STRONGMarket: 70% (+13.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +48(favors Hawes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Winn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Winn)
Middleweight✗
Roman Dolidze won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dolidze 23%77% Daukaus
STRONGMarket: 29% (-6.7% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +1(favors Dolidze)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Dolidze)