UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Saturday, August 28, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/12(67%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Giga Chikadze won by KO/TKO (R3)
Chikadze 67%33% Barboza
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 47% (+20.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Chikadze)
MiddleweightHIT
Bryan Battle won by Submission (R2)
Battle 58%42% Urbina
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 62% (-4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Urbina)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Urbina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Urbina)
BantamweightMISS
Ricky Turcios won by Decision - Split (R3)
Turcios 47%53% Hiestand
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-11.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hiestand)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hiestand)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hiestand)
WelterweightHIT
Daniel Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 60%40% Lee
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEANMarket: 43% (+17.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -198(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Lee)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Petroski won by KO/TKO (R3)
Petroski 89%11% Gillmore
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gillmore)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gillmore)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gillmore)
MiddleweightMISS
Gerald Meerschaert won by Submission (R2)
Meerschaert 16%84% Muradov
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 15% (+0.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -273(favors Muradov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Meerschaert)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Meerschaert)
Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 31%69% Chirico
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (-0.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -175(favors Chirico)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Chirico)
MiddleweightMISS
Wellington Turman won by Decision - Split (R3)
Turman 42%58% Alvey
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEANMarket: 54% (-11.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -260(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Turman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Dustin Jacoby won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jacoby 55%45% Stewart
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 64% (-8.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Stewart)
Women's FlyweightHIT
JJ Aldrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldrich 91%9% Demopoulos
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+13.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +126(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Aldrich)
FeatherweightHIT
Pat Sabatini won by Submission (R1)
Sabatini 64%36% Emmers
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 43% (+21.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Sabatini)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Emmers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Emmers)
BantamweightHIT
Mana Martinez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Martinez 76%24% Cannetti
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONGMarket: 71% (+5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +152(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Cannetti)