UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
Saturday, June 19, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✗
Chan Sung Jung won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jung 33%67% Ige
CONFIDENTMarket: 41% (-7.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +94(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ige)
Heavyweight✓
Serghei Spivac won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Spivac 75%25% Oleinik
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +45(favors Spivac)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Spivac)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Spivac)
Bantamweight✓
Marlon Vera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vera 74%26% Grant
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+6.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Grant)
Featherweight✗
SeungWoo Choi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Choi 49%51% Erosa
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -45(favors Erosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Erosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Erosa)
Middleweight✗
Bruno Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 48%52% Turman
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Turman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Turman)
Welterweight✗
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 39%61% Lima
LEANMarket: 37% (+2.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Brown)
Light Heavyweight✗
Nicolae Negumereanu won by Decision - Split (R3)
Negumereanu 36%64% Camur
LEAN
→Elo gap: -98(favors Camur)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Camur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Camur)
Women's Strawweight✗
Virna Jandiroba won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jandiroba 49%51% Murata
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-6.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +34(favors Jandiroba)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Jandiroba)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Murata)
Welterweight✓
Khaos Williams won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Williams 62%38% Semelsberger
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Semelsberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Semelsberger)
Heavyweight✓
Josh Parisian won by Decision - Split (R3)
Parisian 76%24% Martinez
STRONGMarket: 56% (+19.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +93(favors Parisian)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Parisian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Martinez)
Lightweight✓
Ricky Glenn won by KO/TKO (R1)
Glenn 58%42% Silva
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -30(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Glenn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Glenn)
Women's Flyweight✓
Casey O'Neill won by Submission (R3)
O'Neill 69%31% Procopio
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +76(favors O'Neill)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Procopio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors O'Neill)