UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Saturday, June 5, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rozenstruik 60%40% Sakai
LEANMarket: 53% (+7.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +232(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Sakai)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Sakai)
Heavyweight✓
Marcin Tybura won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tybura 82%18% Harris
STRONGMarket: 60% (+21.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Tybura)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Tybura)
Middleweight✓
Roman Dolidze won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dolidze 67%33% Staropoli
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+10.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +90(favors Dolidze)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Staropoli)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Dolidze)
Welterweight✗
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ponzinibbio 37%63% Baeza
LEANMarket: 47% (-9.9% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +125(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Baeza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Baeza)
Middleweight✗
Gregory Rodrigues won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodrigues 37%63% Todorovic
LEANMarket: 41% (-4.2% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Rodrigues)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.2(favors Todorovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Todorovic)
Women's Flyweight✓
Montana De La Rosa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rosa 70%30% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +118(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Rosa)
Heavyweight✗
Ilir Latifi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Latifi 36%64% Boser
LEANMarket: 36% (-0.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Boser)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Latifi)
Welterweight✓
Muslim Salikhov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Salikhov 76%24% Trinaldo
STRONGMarket: 70% (+6.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -57(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Salikhov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Salikhov)
Featherweight✗
Kamuela Kirk won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kirk 28%72% Amirkhani
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -141(favors Amirkhani)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Amirkhani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Amirkhani)
Lightweight
Patrick 15%85% Jones
STRONGMarket: 28% (-12.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -313(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.4(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Patrick)
Women's Flyweight✓
Manon Fiorot won by KO/TKO (R2)
Fiorot 74%26% Ricci
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Fiorot)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Fiorot)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Fiorot)
Featherweight✗
Sean Woodson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Woodson 43%57% Zalal
LEANMarket: 63% (-19.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -79(favors Zalal)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Woodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Zalal)
Lightweight✗
Claudio Puelles won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Puelles 20%80% Leavitt
STRONGMarket: 35% (-15.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Leavitt)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Leavitt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -37.9(favors Leavitt)