UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Flyweight✓
Marina Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Rodriguez 72%28% Waterson-Gomez
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +104(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Waterson-Gomez)
Welterweight✗
Alex Morono won by KO/TKO (R1)
Morono 39%61% Cerrone
LEANMarket: 35% (+4.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -208(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Morono)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 63%37% Neal
LEANMarket: 37% (+26.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Neal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Magny)
Heavyweight✓
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lima 71%29% Greene
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+6.2% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Greene)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Lima)
Lightweight✓
Gregor Gillespie won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gillespie 50%50% Ferreira
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -197(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Gillespie)
Middleweight✗
Phil Hawes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hawes 46%54% Daukaus
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (-0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +132(favors Hawes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Hawes)
Featherweight✗
Michael Trizano won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Trizano 35%65% Klein
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -169(favors Klein)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Trizano)
Middleweight✓
JunYong Park won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Park 50%50% Nchukwi
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -79(favors Nchukwi)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Nchukwi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Park)
Welterweight✗
Carlston Harris won by Submission (R1)
Harris 48%52% Aguilera
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-14.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -38(favors Aguilera)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Aguilera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Aguilera)