UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Saturday, March 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 7/10(70%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ngannou 51%49% Miocic
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -99(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Miocic)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by Submission (R1)
Luque 74%26% Woodley
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Woodley)
BantamweightHIT
Sean O'Malley won by KO/TKO (R3)
O'Malley 69%31% Almeida
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +279(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors O'Malley)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Miranda Maverick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maverick 60%40% Robertson
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Maverick)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.5(favors Maverick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Robertson)
LightweightMISS
Jamie Mullarkey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mullarkey 50%50% Worthy
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -402(favors Worthy)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Worthy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Mullarkey)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightMISS
Alonzo Menifield won by Submission (R1)
Menifield 45%55% Cherant
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +22(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cherant)
WelterweightHIT
Abubakar Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 61%39% Gooden
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -166(favors Gooden)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Gooden)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Nurmagomedov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Michal Oleksiejczuk won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oleksiejczuk 55%45% Bukauskas
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -77(favors Bukauskas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Oleksiejczuk)
FeatherweightHIT
Omar Morales won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morales 60%40% Young
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +226(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Young)
Early Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Marc-Andre Barriault won by KO/TKO (R3)
Barriault 48%52% Azaitar
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -511(favors Azaitar)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Barriault)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Azaitar)