UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Saturday, February 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·9 fights
Model: 6/8(75%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Gane 75%25% Rozenstruik
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -171(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Gane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Gane)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ankalaev 73%27% Krylov
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +127(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Krylov)
Women's Flyweight
Rosa 76%24% Silva
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Rosa)
BantamweightMISS
Pedro Munhoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munhoz 44%56% Rivera
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Rivera)
FeatherweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 70%30% Croom
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +157(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Croom)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Caceres)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Moises won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moises 53%47% Hernandez
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Hernandez)
Prelims
Women's BantamweightMISS
Alexis Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 38%62% Mazo
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -329(favors Mazo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Mazo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Mazo)
BantamweightHIT
Ronnie Lawrence won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lawrence 57%43% Cachero
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +153(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Cachero)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cachero)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Dustin Jacoby won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jacoby 52%48% Grishin
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -79(favors Grishin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Grishin)