UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Saturday, February 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Ciryl Gane won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Gane 63%37% Rozenstruik
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -198(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Gane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Gane)
Light Heavyweight✓
Magomed Ankalaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ankalaev 67%33% Krylov
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Krylov)
Women's Flyweight
Rosa 74%26% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -12(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Rosa)
Bantamweight✗
Pedro Munhoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munhoz 37%63% Rivera
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Rivera)
Featherweight✓
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 72%28% Croom
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +197(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Croom)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Caceres)
Lightweight✗
Thiago Moises won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moises 50%50% Hernandez
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -98(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Hernandez)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Alexis Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 34%66% Mazo
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -274(favors Mazo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Mazo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Mazo)
Bantamweight✓
Ronnie Lawrence won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lawrence 58%42% Cachero
LEAN
→Elo gap: +98(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Cachero)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cachero)
Light Heavyweight✓
Dustin Jacoby won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jacoby 56%44% Grishin
LEAN
→Elo gap: -66(favors Grishin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Grishin)