UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Saturday, November 28, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✗
Anthony Smith won by Submission (R1)
Smith 36%64% Clark
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +199(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Clark)
Welterweight✓
Miguel Baeza won by Submission (R2)
Baeza 75%25% Sato
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Baeza)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Baeza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Baeza)
Heavyweight✗
Parker Porter won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Porter 45%55% Parisian
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Parisian)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Parisian)
Featherweight✗
Bill Algeo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Algeo 44%56% Carlyle
LEAN
→Elo gap: -71(favors Carlyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Algeo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Carlyle)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dumont 63%37% Evans-Smith
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +5(favors Dumont)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Evans-Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Dumont)
Featherweight✗
Jonathan Pearce won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearce 42%58% Kamaka
LEAN
→Elo gap: -262(favors Kamaka)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Kamaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Kamaka)
Bantamweight✗
Anderson Dos Santos won by Submission (R1)
Santos 41%59% Day
LEAN
→Elo gap: +51(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Day)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Santos)
Women's Flyweight✓
Gina Mazany won by KO/TKO (R3)
Mazany 58%42% Ostovich
LEAN
→Elo gap: -86(favors Ostovich)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Mazany)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Ostovich)
Flyweight✓
Sumudaerji won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sumudaerji 65%35% Gordon
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +94(favors Sumudaerji)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Sumudaerji)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Sumudaerji)
Catch Weight✓
Nate Maness won by Submission (R2)
Maness 61%39% Sanders
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Sanders)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Sanders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Maness)