UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Saturday, November 28, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 7/10(70%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓
Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Anthony Smith won by Submission (R1)
Smith 42%58% Clark
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +322(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Clark)
WelterweightHIT
Miguel Baeza won by Submission (R2)
Baeza 72%28% Sato
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +155(favors Baeza)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Baeza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Baeza)
HeavyweightMISS
Parker Porter won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Porter 47%53% Parisian
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Parisian)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Parisian)
FeatherweightMISS
Bill Algeo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Algeo 48%52% Carlyle
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -79(favors Carlyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Algeo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Carlyle)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dumont 73%27% Evans-Smith
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Evans-Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Evans-Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Dumont)
FeatherweightHIT
Jonathan Pearce won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearce 52%48% Kamaka
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -311(favors Kamaka)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Kamaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Kamaka)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Anderson Dos Santos won by Submission (R1)
Santos 51%49% Day
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +103(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Day)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Santos)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Gina Mazany won by KO/TKO (R3)
Mazany 62%38% Ostovich
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -64(favors Ostovich)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Mazany)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Ostovich)
FlyweightHIT
Sumudaerji won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sumudaerji 66%34% Gordon
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Sumudaerji)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Sumudaerji)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Sumudaerji)
Catch WeightHIT
Nate Maness won by Submission (R2)
Maness 80%20% Sanders
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Maness)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Sanders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Maness)