UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos
Saturday, November 14, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 4/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Split (R5)
Anjos 57%43% Felder
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +20(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Felder)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Anjos)
Welterweight✓
Khaos Williams won by KO/TKO (R1)
Williams 70%30% Alhassan
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: +18.0(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Alhassan)
Women's Strawweight✗
Ashley Yoder won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yoder 43%57% Granger
LEANMarket: 41% (+2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -71(favors Granger)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Granger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Yoder)
Catch Weight✗
Sean Strickland won by KO/TKO (R2)
Strickland 42%58% Allen
LEANMarket: 49% (-7.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Allen)
Women's Strawweight✗
Cory McKenna won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McKenna 36%64% Hansen
LEANMarket: 35% (+0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -111(favors Hansen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Hansen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Hansen)
Women's Strawweight✓
Kanako Murata won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Murata 58%42% Markos
LEANMarket: 63% (-4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +66(favors Murata)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Markos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Markos)
Bantamweight✗
Tony Gravely won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gravely 47%53% Freitas
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -77(favors Freitas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Freitas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Gravely)
Welterweight✗
Alex Morono won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morono 48%52% McKee
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-14.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +171(favors Morono)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McKee)
Heavyweight✓
Don'Tale Mayes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mayes 72%28% Martinez
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -53(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Mayes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Martinez)