UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Saturday, October 3, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates·11 fights
Model: 9/10(90%)
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Main Card
Women's BantamweightMISS
Holly Holm won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Holm 42%58% Aldana
Over/UnderOver 73%
Under 27%Over 73%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -61(favors Aldana)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Holm)
HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Felipe won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Felipe 61%39% Castro
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -166(favors Castro)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Felipe)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Castro)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Germaine de Randamie won by Submission (R3)
Randamie 55%45% Pena
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +143(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Randamie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Pena)
BantamweightHIT
Kyler Phillips won by KO/TKO (R2)
Phillips 82%18% Else
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +107(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Phillips)
MiddleweightHIT
Dusko Todorovic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Todorovic 66%34% Townsend
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +321(favors Todorovic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Townsend)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
WelterweightHIT
Carlos Condit won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Condit 60%40% McGee
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +312(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors McGee)
Prelims
Featherweight
Jourdain 64%36% Culibao
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +387(favors Jourdain)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Culibao)
MiddleweightHIT
Nassourdine Imavov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Imavov 53%47% Williams
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Williams)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Loma Lookboonmee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lookboonmee 73%27% Frey
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +122(favors Lookboonmee)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Lookboonmee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Lookboonmee)
BantamweightHIT
Casey Kenney won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kenney 56%44% Alatengheili
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Kenney)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Kenney)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Alatengheili)
LightweightHIT
Luigi Vendramini won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vendramini 52%48% Ayari
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +90(favors Vendramini)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Ayari)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ayari)