UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Saturday, June 20, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 6/11(55%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗
Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Curtis Blaydes won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Blaydes 90%10% Volkov
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+13.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Blaydes)
FeatherweightHIT
Josh Emmett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emmett 58%42% Burgos
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 37% (+21.2% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +177(favors Emmett)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Burgos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Emmett)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 79%21% Reneau
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+10.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +147(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pennington)
WelterweightHIT
Belal Muhammad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muhammad 60%40% Good
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 52% (+8.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Muhammad)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Good)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Muhammad)
Catch WeightMISS
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 42%58% Roberts
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 32% (+10.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Miller)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 73%27% Guida
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+2.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Guida)
Prelims
Women's StrawweightMISS
Tecia Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 30%70% Fortino
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -154(favors Fortino)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Fortino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Fortino)
Middleweight
Barriault 54%46% Piechota
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-0.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +258(favors Barriault)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Barriault)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Piechota)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Gillian Robertson won by Submission (R3)
Robertson 39%61% Casey
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 51% (-12.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Robertson)
LightweightMISS
Justin Jaynes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jaynes 26%74% Camacho
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +5(favors Jaynes)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.0(favors Camacho)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Camacho)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Lauren Murphy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Murphy 62%38% Modafferi
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEANMarket: 53% (+9.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Murphy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Murphy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Modafferi)
LightweightMISS
Austin Hubbard won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hubbard 42%58% Rohskopf
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 37% (+4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -45(favors Rohskopf)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Hubbard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Hubbard)