UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Saturday, June 13, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Flyweight✓
Cynthia Calvillo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Calvillo 64%36% Eye
LEANMarket: 56% (+8.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Calvillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Calvillo)
Middleweight✓
Marvin Vettori won by Submission (R1)
Vettori 65%35% Roberson
LEANMarket: 65% (-0.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Vettori)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Vettori)
Lightweight✓
Charles Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 53%47% Aguilar
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+13.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +54(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Rosa)
Featherweight✓
Andre Fili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fili 62%38% Jourdain
LEANMarket: 67% (-5.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Fili)
Bantamweight✓
Jordan Espinosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Espinosa 59%41% Rosa
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +174(favors Espinosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Espinosa)
Women's Flyweight✓
Mariya Agapova won by Submission (R1)
Agapova 81%19% Cifers
STRONGMarket: 75% (+5.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +170(favors Agapova)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.7(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Cifers)
Catch Weight✓
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 92%8% Lopez
STRONGMarket: 86% (+6.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +180(favors Dvalishvili)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Dvalishvili)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Julia Avila won by KO/TKO (R1)
Avila 86%14% Mazany
STRONGMarket: 83% (+3.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Avila)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Avila)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Mazany)
Bantamweight✓
Tyson Nam won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nam 53%47% Adashev
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-3.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -102(favors Adashev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Nam)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Adashev)
Welterweight✗
Christian Aguilera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aguilera 35%65% Ivy
CONFIDENTMarket: 35% (+0.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ivy)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ivy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ivy)