UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Saturday, June 6, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 10/12(83%)
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Main Card
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Amanda Nunes won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Nunes 87%13% Spencer
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+5.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +530(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Spencer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Nunes)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Garbrandt won by KO/TKO (R2)
Garbrandt 54%46% Assuncao
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-5.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -122(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Garbrandt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Assuncao)
BantamweightHIT
Aljamain Sterling won by Submission (R1)
Sterling 53%47% Sandhagen
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+1.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Sandhagen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Sterling)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Sterling)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 50%50% Martin
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Magny)
BantamweightHIT
Sean O'Malley won by KO/TKO (R1)
O'Malley 91%9% Wineland
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+9.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors O'Malley)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 12%88% Hooper
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 34% (-21.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Hooper)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Hooper)
MiddleweightHIT
Ian Heinisch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Heinisch 65%35% Meerschaert
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
CONFIDENTMarket: 56% (+9.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Heinisch)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Heinisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Meerschaert)
FeatherweightHIT
Cody Stamann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stamann 73%27% Kelleher
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+5.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Stamann)
MiddleweightHIT
Maki Pitolo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pitolo 50%50% Byrd
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+13.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -21(favors Byrd)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Byrd)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Byrd)
Early Prelims
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 55%45% Formiga
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-1.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Formiga)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Perez)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Devin Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 44%56% Menifield
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 31% (+13.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -216(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Clark)
Catch WeightHIT
Herbert Burns won by Submission (R1)
Burns 80%20% Dunham
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 70% (+9.9% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Dunham)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Burns)