UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Saturday, January 25, 2020·Raleigh, North Carolina, USA·12 fights
Model: 10/12(83%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Curtis Blaydes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Blaydes 73%27% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.6(favors Blaydes)
WelterweightHIT
Michael Chiesa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chiesa 54%46% Anjos
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -190(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Chiesa)
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by Submission (R1)
Perez 72%28% Espinosa
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+1.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +277(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Perez)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Angela Hill won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hill 65%35% Cifers
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEANMarket: 66% (-1.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Cifers)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Hill)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 53%47% Stosic
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +209(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Stosic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Stosic)
MiddleweightHIT
Bevon Lewis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lewis 91%9% Townsend
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+12.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +67(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 84%16% Lentz
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+14.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +122(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Lentz)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Justine Kish won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kish 42%58% Pudilova
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 39% (+2.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Kish)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Kish)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Kish)
BantamweightHIT
Montel Jackson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jackson 87%13% Colares
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 84% (+2.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +292(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Colares)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Sara McMann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McMann 57%43% Lansberg
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 56% (+1.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -109(favors Lansberg)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors McMann)
BantamweightHIT
Brett Johns won by Submission (R3)
Johns 53%47% Gravely
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-0.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +185(favors Johns)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Johns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Johns)
FeatherweightMISS
Herbert Burns won by KO/TKO (R1)
Burns 43%57% Landwehr
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 48% (-5.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Landwehr)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Landwehr)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Landwehr)