UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Saturday, August 17, 2019·Anaheim, California, USA·12 fights
Model: 10/12(83%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R4)
Miocic 74%26% Cormier
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 42% (+31.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -223(favors Cormier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Miocic)
WelterweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diaz 53%47% Pettis
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+6.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Pettis)
MiddleweightMISS
Paulo Costa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Costa 41%59% Romero
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEANMarket: 41% (-0.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -261(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Romero)
FeatherweightHIT
Sodiq Yusuff won by KO/TKO (R1)
Yusuff 75%25% Benitez
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+3.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Yusuff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Benitez)
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brunson 52%48% Heinisch
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+11.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Heinisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Brunson)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Khama Worthy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Worthy 19%81% Smith
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 11% (+8.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -321(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
BantamweightHIT
Cory Sandhagen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sandhagen 82%18% Assuncao
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+12.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Sandhagen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Sandhagen)
LightweightHIT
Drakkar Klose won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Klose 63%37% Giagos
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 63% (+0.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +240(favors Klose)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Klose)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Giagos)
Catch WeightHIT
Casey Kenney won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kenney 54%46% Bermudez
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+14.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -90(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Kenney)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Bermudez)
Early Prelims
Women's StrawweightHIT
Hannah Cifers won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cifers 79%21% Esquibel
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
STRONGMarket: 72% (+7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +314(favors Cifers)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Esquibel)
BantamweightHIT
Kyung Ho Kang won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kang 55%45% Davis
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UPMarket: 64% (-9.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +184(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Kang)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Sabina Mazo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mazo 82%18% Dobson
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 55% (+26.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -145(favors Dobson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Dobson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Dobson)