UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Saturday, August 10, 2019·Montevideo, Uruguay
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's FlyweightHIT
Valentina Shevchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Shevchenko 87%13% Carmouche
STRONGMarket: 90% (-3.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +307(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Shevchenko)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Carmouche)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by Decision - Split (R3)
Luque 77%23% Perry
STRONGMarket: 68% (+9.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Perry)
FeatherweightMISS
Eduardo Garagorri won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Garagorri 48%52% Bandenay
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +101(favors Garagorri)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Bandenay)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Bandenay)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by KO/TKO (R2)
Oezdemir 48%52% Latifi
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-13.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Oezdemir)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Latifi)
MiddleweightHIT
Rodolfo Vieira won by Submission (R2)
Vieira 63%37% Piechota
LEANMarket: 65% (-2.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors Piechota)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Piechota)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Piechota)
FeatherweightHIT
Enrique Barzola won by Decision - Split (R3)
Barzola 67%33% Moffett
CONFIDENTMarket: 59% (+8.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +190(favors Barzola)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Barzola)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Barzola)
WelterweightHIT
Gilbert Burns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burns 63%37% Kunchenko
LEAN
→Elo gap: +131(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Burns)
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by Submission (R1)
Gane 88%12% Pessoa
STRONGMarket: 80% (+8.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Pessoa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Pessoa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pessoa)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Marina Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 53%47% Pennington
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Pennington)
FlyweightMISS
Rogerio Bontorin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bontorin 43%57% Paiva
LEANMarket: 49% (-6.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +121(favors Bontorin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Paiva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Bontorin)
BantamweightMISS
Chris Gutierrez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gutierrez 48%52% Freitas
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -58(favors Freitas)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.0(favors Freitas)
LightweightHIT
Alex Da Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 75%25% Vargas
STRONG
→Elo gap: -101(favors Vargas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Silva)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Veronica Hardy won by Submission (R1)
Hardy 51%49% Viana
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -167(favors Viana)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Viana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Viana)