UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA
Model Record: 11/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Edwards 58%42% Anjos
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Edwards)
HeavyweightHIT
Walt Harris won by KO/TKO (R1)
Harris 61%39% Oleinik
LEANMarket: 58% (+2.7% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Oleinik)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Oleinik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Oleinik)
HeavyweightHIT
Greg Hardy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hardy 62%38% Adams
LEANMarket: 47% (+15.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +51(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Adams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Adams)
LightweightHIT
Dan Hooker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hooker 60%40% Vick
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +62(favors Hooker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Hooker)
LightweightHIT
Alexander Hernandez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hernandez 76%24% Trinaldo
STRONGMarket: 66% (+9.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -161(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Hernandez)
HeavyweightMISS
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 49%51% Rothwell
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+11.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -274(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Rothwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Arlovski)
FeatherweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 50%50% Peterson
TOSS-UPMarket: 50% (-0.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Peterson)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pennington 54%46% Aldana
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+10.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +51(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pennington)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Klidson Abreu won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Abreu 59%41% Alvey
LEAN
→Elo gap: -102(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Alvey)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jennifer Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 56%44% Modafferi
LEANMarket: 56% (-0.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Modafferi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Modafferi)
BantamweightHIT
Ray Borg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borg 57%43% Silva
LEANMarket: 62% (-4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +143(favors Borg)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Borg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Borg)
BantamweightHIT
Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bautista 56%44% Son
LEANMarket: 49% (+7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +21(favors Bautista)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Son)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Bautista)
BantamweightMISS
Felipe Colares won by Decision - Split (R3)
Colares 21%79% Pilarte
STRONGMarket: 24% (-3.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -85(favors Pilarte)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Colares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Colares)