UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Saturday, June 29, 2019·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ngannou 66%34% Santos
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +82(favors Ngannou)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
Flyweight✓
Joseph Benavidez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Benavidez 53%47% Formiga
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-1.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +19(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Benavidez)
Welterweight✗
Demian Maia won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Maia 40%60% Martin
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Maia)
Lightweight✗
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 25%75% Roberts
STRONGMarket: 30% (-5.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +49(favors Pichel)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Pichel)
Lightweight✓
Drew Dober won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dober 87%13% Reyes
STRONGMarket: 78% (+8.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Dober)
Light Heavyweight✓
Alonzo Menifield won by KO/TKO (R1)
Menifield 79%21% Craig
STRONGMarket: 73% (+6.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +83(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.8(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Craig)
Bantamweight✓
Ricardo Ramos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ramos 89%11% Newson
STRONGMarket: 77% (+11.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +79(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Ramos)
Light Heavyweight✓
Eryk Anders won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anders 74%26% Moreira
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (+0.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +117(favors Anders)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Anders)
Lightweight✓
Jared Gordon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gordon 83%17% Moret
STRONGMarket: 75% (+8.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +104(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Gordon)
Light Heavyweight✓
Dalcha Lungiambula won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lungiambula 87%13% Townsend
STRONGMarket: 78% (+9.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Townsend)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
Women's Strawweight✓
Amanda Ribas won by Submission (R2)
Ribas 50%50% Whitmire
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+13.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Whitmire)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Whitmire)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Whitmire)
Heavyweight✓
Maurice Greene won by KO/TKO (R1)
Greene 58%42% Albini
LEANMarket: 51% (+6.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +302(favors Greene)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Greene)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Albini)