UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
Saturday, May 18, 2019·Rochester, New York, USA
Model Record: 6/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✗
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Submission (R4)
Anjos 46%54% Lee
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Lee)
Middleweight✗
Ian Heinisch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Heinisch 41%59% Junior
LEANMarket: 39% (+1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -334(favors Junior)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Heinisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Junior)
Women's Featherweight✗
Felicia Spencer won by Submission (R1)
Spencer 22%78% Anderson
STRONGMarket: 34% (-11.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -157(favors Anderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Anderson)
Welterweight✓
Vicente Luque won by KO/TKO (R1)
Luque 89%11% Krantz
STRONGMarket: 89% (-0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +523(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.4(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Luque)
Lightweight✓
Charles Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Oliveira 89%11% Lentz
STRONGMarket: 77% (+12.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Oliveira)
Lightweight✓
Davi Ramos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ramos 81%19% Hubbard
STRONGMarket: 82% (-0.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +310(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Ramos)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Aspen Ladd won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ladd 72%28% Eubanks
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+0.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Ladd)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ladd)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Eubanks)
Lightweight✓
Desmond Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 83%17% Jourdain
STRONGMarket: 87% (-4.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Green)
Welterweight✗
Michel Pereira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pereira 22%78% Roberts
STRONGMarket: 31% (-9.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Roberts)
Featherweight✗
Grant Dawson won by Submission (R2)
Dawson 45%55% Trizano
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Trizano)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Dawson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Dawson)
Light Heavyweight✗
Ed Herman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Herman 27%73% Cummins
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -32(favors Cummins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Cummins)
Middleweight✗
Zak Cummings won by Submission (R3)
Cummings 50%50% Giles
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+12.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +56(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Giles)
Featherweight✓
Julio Arce won by KO/TKO (R3)
Arce 88%12% Erosa
STRONGMarket: 86% (+1.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +283(favors Arce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Arce)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Erosa)